Tennis · M15 Segrate · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Stefano D'Agostino
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Stefano D'Agostino
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
6-4 (W-L)
Stefano D'Agostino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1514 · Stefano D'Agostino 1520
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Stefano D'Agostino dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 48.9% break avg.
- Note: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Stefano D'Agostino makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.7 | 11.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Niccolo Catini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Stefano D'Agostino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 16/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Store |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Michael Savano M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Store |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Piotr Galus M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Store |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Stefano D'Agostino?
Our model gives 58% to Juan Cruz Martin Manzano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.