Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 21/07, 15:30
Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignon
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Altmaier
Raphael Collignon
Estimated games
27.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier
5-5 (W-L)
Raphael Collignon
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1510 · Raphael Collignon 1507
| Daniel Altmaier | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daniel Altmaier makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Raphael Collignon makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Altmaier | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-14.5 | 14.2-14.9 |
| Aces | 10 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 24.6% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-22 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-27 | L |
Raphael Collignon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 30/06 | Arthur Fils Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignon?
Our model gives 54% to Raphael Collignon, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.