Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 19/07, 22:45
Prediction: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Chris Rodesch
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Chris Rodesch
4-6 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chris Rodesch 1540 · Ilya Ivashka 1598
| Chris Rodesch | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilya Ivashka (rating 1540 vs 1598).
- Ilya Ivashka is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Chris Rodesch | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13 | 13.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chris Rodesch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 15/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Florent Bax Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Jan Choinski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 53% to Chris Rodesch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.