Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 18/07, 19:00
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
7-3 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1530 · Ilya Ivashka 1592
| Tiago Pereira | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilya Ivashka (rating 1530 vs 1592).
- Ilya Ivashka is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.5 | 13.5-8.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Filippo Moroni M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Noa Vukadin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 65% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.