Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 17/07, 19:00
Prediction: Dan Added vs Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
9-1 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1563 · Ilya Ivashka 1591
| Dan Added | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dan Added | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.7 | 12.9-7.9 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 80% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 62% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.