Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 17/07, 20:30
Prediction: Akira Santillan vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Akira Santillan
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Akira Santillan
1-9 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Akira Santillan 1471 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1577
| Akira Santillan | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1471 vs 1577).
- Izan Almazan Valiente is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Akira Santillan makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Akira Santillan | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.8 | 12-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 68% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Alejandro Lopez Escribano Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Marko Bekeni Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akira Santillan vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 55% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.