Tennis · WTA Palermo · 19/07, 20:00

Prediction: Noemi Basiletti vs Isabella Shinikova

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Noemi Basiletti Isabella Shinikova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Noemi Basiletti 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Isabella Shinikova 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noemi Basiletti 1529 · Isabella Shinikova 1498
Noemi BasilettiIsabella Shinikova
Our model54%46%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Isabella Shinikova makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Noemi BasilettiIsabella Shinikova
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.1-1
Games (G-P)11.1-8.910.1-9.1
Aces0.22.6
Double faults1.64.4
1st serve %59%62.4%
Break %51.3%52.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noemi Basiletti

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Laura Boehner
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Danka Kovinic
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
12/07 Anastasia Abbagnato
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
25/06 Federica Trevisan
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Aneta Kucmova
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Noemi Maines
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Darya Astakhova
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 10-14 L
15/06 Mia Ristic
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/06 Radka Zelnickova
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Isabella Shinikova

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Rasheeda McAdoo
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
14/07 Alexandra Shubladze
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
13/07 Yujia Huang
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/07 Doga Turkmen
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
11/06 Francesca Curmi
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Khrystyna Vozniak
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 8-4 W
02/06 Anastasia Tikhonova
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
19/05 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
04/05 Tereza Martincova
WTA Istanbul · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
02/05 Minel Naz Kaynak
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noemi Basiletti vs Isabella Shinikova?

Our model gives 67% to Noemi Basiletti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.