Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Deborah Chiesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Yasmine Kabbaj
Deborah Chiesa
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yasmine Kabbaj
5-5 (W-L)
Deborah Chiesa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yasmine Kabbaj 1492 · Deborah Chiesa 1605
| Yasmine Kabbaj | Deborah Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deborah Chiesa (rating 1492 vs 1605).
- Deborah Chiesa is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yasmine Kabbaj | Deborah Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.1 | 13.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 61.1% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yasmine Kabbaj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Ekaterina Perelygina WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Alina Granwehr W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Maya Joint WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Selena Janicijevic W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yasmine Kabbaj vs Deborah Chiesa?
Our model gives 69% to Deborah Chiesa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.