Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Federica Urgesi vs Elizara Yaneva
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Urgesi
Elizara Yaneva
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Urgesi
8-2 (W-L)
Elizara Yaneva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Urgesi 1522 · Elizara Yaneva 1521
| Federica Urgesi | Elizara Yaneva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federica Urgesi | Elizara Yaneva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 10.3-9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 47% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Gabriela Ce W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Elizara Yaneva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Lisa Pigato WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Urgesi vs Elizara Yaneva?
Our model gives 60% to Elizara Yaneva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.