Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Abbagnato
Clara Burel
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Abbagnato
3-7 (W-L)
Clara Burel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Abbagnato 1431 · Clara Burel 1535
| Anastasia Abbagnato | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clara Burel (rating 1431 vs 1535).
- Clara Burel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Anastasia Abbagnato | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-13.2 | 12.7-9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Abbagnato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Camilla Gennaro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Galatea Ferro W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/04 | Emma Jackson W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 25/02 | Akasha Urhobo W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Clara Burel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel?
Our model gives 79% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.