Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alice Rame
Anastasia Tikhonova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alice Rame
2-8 (W-L)
Anastasia Tikhonova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alice Rame 1404 · Anastasia Tikhonova 1501
| Alice Rame | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Tikhonova (rating 1404 vs 1501).
- Anastasia Tikhonova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Anastasia Tikhonova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alice Rame | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 11% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-12.5 | 10.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alice Rame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Emily Seibold W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Claire Liu WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/04 | Maria Timofeeva W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Anastasia Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Eva Bennemann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Sandra Samir W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Karyna Fiadosik W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Laura Pigossi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Dalila Jakupovic W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Pia Lovric W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova?
Our model gives 56% to Anastasia Tikhonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.