Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Darya Astakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Darya Astakhova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1555 · Darya Astakhova 1525
| Francesca Jones | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.5 | 10.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 63.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alice Rame WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Darya Astakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Xinxin Yao W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Lisa Pigato WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Darya Astakhova?
Our model gives 64% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.