Tennis · WTA Palermo · 19/07, 18:10

Prediction: Yufei Ren vs Miriana Tona

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Yufei Ren Miriana Tona
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Yufei Ren 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWLL
Miriana Tona 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yufei Ren 1501 · Miriana Tona 1478
Yufei RenMiriana Tona
Our model53%47%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yufei RenMiriana Tona
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.8-1.4
Games (G-P)11.7-10.88.8-10.8
Aces0.72.2
Double faults3.53.8
1st serve %61.5%59.5%
Break %39.8%49.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yufei Ren

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Carla Giambelli
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
13/07 Lola Radivojevic
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Alice Tubello
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
19/06 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
18/06 Qiu Yu Ye
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
10/06 Junhan Zhang
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
07/06 Xinxin Yao
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
06/06 Rina Saigo
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
05/06 Yidi Yang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Miriana Tona

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Clara Tauson
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Sapfo Sakellaridi
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
12/07 Nao Hibino
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/07 Maria Rentoumi
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Marta Lombardini
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
11/06 Dunja Maric
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
09/06 Eleonora Alvisi
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/06 Viola Turini
WTA Foggia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/05 Martyna Kubka
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
19/05 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W75 Kosice · ~Clay
2-1 13-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yufei Ren vs Miriana Tona?

Our model gives 62% to Yufei Ren, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.