Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 19/07, 13:30
Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko
Prediction summary
Winner
Jurij Rodionov
Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov
8-2 (W-L)
Vitaliy Sachko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jurij Rodionov
1–0
Vitaliy Sachko
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1522 · Vitaliy Sachko 1532
| Jurij Rodionov | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jurij Rodionov 1–0 Vitaliy Sachko (1).
Statistics
| Jurij Rodionov | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.9 | 12-10.7 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Jurij Rodionov 1 – 0 Vitaliy Sachko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jurij Rodionov 1–0 Vitaliy Sachko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/25 Challenger Thionville | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jurij Rodionov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Andrey Chepelev ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Oliver Crawford Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Colton Smith Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Vitaliy Sachko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Federico Coria ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko?
Our model gives 55% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.