Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 21/07, 11:30
Prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan-Lennard Struff
Alexander Shevchenko
Estimated games
27.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jan-Lennard Struff
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Shevchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan-Lennard Struff
2–0
Alexander Shevchenko
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan-Lennard Struff 1530 · Alexander Shevchenko 1523
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jan-Lennard Struff 2–0 Alexander Shevchenko (2).
- Note: Jan-Lennard Struff makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 18.6-18.8 | 12.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 15.5 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 37% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2
H2H · Jan-Lennard Struff 2 – 0 Alexander Shevchenko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan-Lennard Struff 2–0 Alexander Shevchenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/24 ATP Metz | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/01/23 Australian Open | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Medvedev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 21-17 | W |
| 02/07 | Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-31 | W |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Baez Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-24 | W |
| 23/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Jaime Faria French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 26/05 | Alexander Bublik French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
Alexander Shevchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenko?
Our model gives 57% to Jan-Lennard Struff, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.