Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 21/07, 11:30
Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Neumayer
Yannick Hanfmann
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Neumayer
5-5 (W-L)
Yannick Hanfmann
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lukas Neumayer
0–1
Yannick Hanfmann
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1462 · Yannick Hanfmann 1506
| Lukas Neumayer | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannick Hanfmann (rating 1462 vs 1506).
- Head-to-head: Lukas Neumayer 0–1 Yannick Hanfmann (1).
Statistics
| Lukas Neumayer | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.3 | 13.3-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 81.7% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 15.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Lukas Neumayer 0 – 1 Yannick Hanfmann (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lukas Neumayer 0–1 Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/25 ATP Kitzbuhel | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Marko Topo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Mili Poljicak ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 23/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Fonseca ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmann?
Our model gives 63% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.