Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 21/07, 11:30
Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungelliti
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Marco Trungelliti
Estimated games
26.2
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Marco Trungelliti
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1522 · Marco Trungelliti 1474
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Manuel Cerundolo (rating 1522 vs 1474).
- Note: Juan Manuel Cerundolo makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.6 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.3-16 | 13.6-13.7 |
| Aces | 9 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Zdenek Kolar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/06 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 15-20 | L |
| 30/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 32-30 | W |
Marco Trungelliti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 22/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Felix Gill ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungelliti?
Our model gives 61% to Juan Manuel Cerundolo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.