Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 19/07, 11:30
Prediction: Federico Cina vs Lorenzo Giustino
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Cina
Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina
4-6 (W-L)
Lorenzo Giustino
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1507 · Lorenzo Giustino 1552
| Federico Cina | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Giustino (rating 1507 vs 1552).
Statistics
| Federico Cina | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.2 | 12.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 76% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Daniel Michalski ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Calvin Hemery ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Patrick Zahraj ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gianluca Cadenasso Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Nico Hipfl ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Lorenzo Giustino?
Our model gives 57% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.