Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 19/07, 03:00
Prediction: Matt Hulme vs Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Matt Hulme
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matt Hulme
7-3 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matt Hulme
1–1
Jake Delaney
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matt Hulme 1530 · Jake Delaney 1584
| Matt Hulme | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Delaney (rating 1530 vs 1584).
- Matt Hulme dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 54.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Matt Hulme | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 12.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 78% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Matt Hulme 1 – 1 Jake Delaney (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matt Hulme 1–1 Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/23 ITF M25 Gold Coast | 2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 20/09/23 ITF M25 Darwin | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matt Hulme
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Zachary Viiala M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/07 | Colin Sinclair M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Joshua Charlton M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sam Wensley M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Vitorio Sardinha UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Chase Ferguson M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikita Volonski M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Duje Markovina M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Max Purcell M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matt Hulme vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 64% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.