Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 16/07, 03:30
Prediction: Benjamin O'Connell vs Blake Ellis
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin O'Connell
Blake Ellis
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin O'Connell
5-5 (W-L)
Blake Ellis
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin O'Connell 1515 · Blake Ellis 1477
| Benjamin O'Connell | Blake Ellis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Blake Ellis makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin O'Connell | Blake Ellis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.8 | 13-13.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chen Dong M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Noah Zamora M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matic Kriznik M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Blake Ellis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Hayden Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Alex Kobelt M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 03/06 | Andres Martin Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Tyler Zink Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/04 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin O'Connell vs Blake Ellis?
Our model gives 64% to Blake Ellis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.