Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 17/07, 04:30
Prediction: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'Connell
Prediction summary
Winner
Matisse Bobichon
Benjamin O'Connell
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matisse Bobichon
8-2 (W-L)
Benjamin O'Connell
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matisse Bobichon 1544 · Benjamin O'Connell 1500
| Matisse Bobichon | Benjamin O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matisse Bobichon (rating 1544 vs 1500).
Statistics
| Matisse Bobichon | Benjamin O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 10.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 59% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matisse Bobichon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Scott Jones M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels Villard M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Benjamin O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Blake Ellis M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Chen Dong M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Noah Zamora M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'Connell?
Our model gives 67% to Matisse Bobichon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.