Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 19/07, 03:00
Prediction: Soma Fukuhara vs Taiyo Kurata
Prediction summary
Winner
Soma Fukuhara
Taiyo Kurata
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Soma Fukuhara
3-7 (W-L)
Taiyo Kurata
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soma Fukuhara 1501 · Taiyo Kurata 1533
| Soma Fukuhara | Taiyo Kurata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Soma Fukuhara | Taiyo Kurata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.5 | 10.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soma Fukuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Quinn Snyder UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Alan Magadan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Taiyo Kurata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 14/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/12 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/12 | Ammar Elamin UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/12 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Sergey Petrov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soma Fukuhara vs Taiyo Kurata?
Our model gives 66% to Taiyo Kurata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.