Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 18/07, 06:00
Prediction: Naoki Nakagawa vs Hiiro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoki Nakagawa
Hiiro Sakamoto
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Naoki Nakagawa
6-4 (W-L)
Hiiro Sakamoto
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoki Nakagawa 1553 · Hiiro Sakamoto 1551
| Naoki Nakagawa | Hiiro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Naoki Nakagawa dominates on serve: 9 aces and 44.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Naoki Nakagawa | Hiiro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.3 | 10.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 83.3% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoki Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Hiiro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Quinn Snyder UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Nuutti Jokinen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Wenze Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoki Nakagawa vs Hiiro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 71% to Naoki Nakagawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.