Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 18/07, 16:30
Prediction: Hugo Dellien vs Michele Ribecai
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Dellien
Michele Ribecai
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Dellien
5-5 (W-L)
Michele Ribecai
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Dellien 1569 · Michele Ribecai 1473
| Hugo Dellien | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1569 vs 1473).
- Hugo Dellien is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hugo Dellien | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.7 | 11.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Dellien vs Michele Ribecai?
Our model gives 69% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.