Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Sandro Kopp vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandro Kopp
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sandro Kopp
8-2 (W-L)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandro Kopp 1571 · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1470
| Sandro Kopp | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandro Kopp (rating 1571 vs 1470).
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert dominates on serve: 11.9 aces and 40.6% break avg.
- Sandro Kopp is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Pierre-Hugues Herbert makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Sandro Kopp | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-10.7 | 13.8-14.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 11.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 44% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandro Kopp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/06 | Tanguy Genier M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Thiago Monteiro ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Mert Alkaya ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Daniil Glinka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Lorenzo Sonego French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-25 | L |
| 22/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Kaichi Uchida French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandro Kopp vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
Our model gives 58% to Sandro Kopp, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.