Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 18/07, 13:00
Prediction: Federico Coria vs Vitaliy Sachko
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Coria
Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Coria
5-5 (W-L)
Vitaliy Sachko
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Coria
1–1
Vitaliy Sachko
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Coria 1467 · Vitaliy Sachko 1505
| Federico Coria | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Vitaliy Sachko dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 48.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Federico Coria | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12.2 | 11.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Federico Coria 1 – 1 Vitaliy Sachko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Coria 1–1 Vitaliy Sachko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/23 Challenger Bratislava | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/02/21 Challenger Concepcion | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Coria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Oliver Bonding Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Andrea Collarini Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 18/05 | Vilius Gaubas French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Vitaliy Sachko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Gonzalo Bueno French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Coria vs Vitaliy Sachko?
Our model gives 61% to Vitaliy Sachko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.