Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 18/07, 14:30
Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Andrey Chepelev
Prediction summary
Winner
Jurij Rodionov
Andrey Chepelev
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov
7-3 (W-L)
Andrey Chepelev
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1493 · Andrey Chepelev 1509
| Jurij Rodionov | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jurij Rodionov | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.8 | 10.2-10 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Oliver Crawford Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Colton Smith Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/07 | John Sperle Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Ivan Sabanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Andrey Chepelev?
Our model gives 63% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.