Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 18/07, 14:30
Prediction: Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbausch
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Heide
Kilian Feldbausch
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Heide
6-4 (W-L)
Kilian Feldbausch
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gustavo Heide
0–1
Kilian Feldbausch
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Heide 1561 · Kilian Feldbausch 1552
| Gustavo Heide | Kilian Feldbausch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gustavo Heide 0–1 Kilian Feldbausch (1).
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Gustavo Heide | Kilian Feldbausch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.8 | 10.8-7.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 63% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Gustavo Heide 0 – 1 Kilian Feldbausch (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gustavo Heide 0–1 Kilian Feldbausch
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/23 Challenger Lima | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Heide
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kilian Feldbausch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbausch?
Our model gives 55% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.