Tennis · M15 Slobozia · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Radu David Turcanu vs Ilya Snitari
Prediction summary
Winner
Radu David Turcanu
Ilya Snitari
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Radu David Turcanu
7-3 (W-L)
Ilya Snitari
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Radu David Turcanu
0–1
Ilya Snitari
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radu David Turcanu 1501 · Ilya Snitari 1601
| Radu David Turcanu | Ilya Snitari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilya Snitari (rating 1501 vs 1601).
- Ilya Snitari is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Radu David Turcanu 0–1 Ilya Snitari (1).
- Note: Radu David Turcanu makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Radu David Turcanu | Ilya Snitari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.6 | 13.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Radu David Turcanu 0 – 1 Ilya Snitari (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Radu David Turcanu 0–1 Ilya Snitari
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/25 M15 Slobozia | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radu David Turcanu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Tudor Batin M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Andrei Dumitrescu M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 28/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruben Hartig M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Calin Apostol M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ilya Snitari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | David Cristian Carteputreda M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Niccolo Catini M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Marko Bekeni M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Rihards Neimanis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radu David Turcanu vs Ilya Snitari?
Our model gives 58% to Ilya Snitari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.