Tennis · M15 Slobozia · 14/07, 11:30
Prediction: Matei Florin Breazu vs Alessandro Mondazzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Matei Florin Breazu
Alessandro Mondazzi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matei Florin Breazu
6-4 (W-L)
Alessandro Mondazzi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matei Florin Breazu 1560 · Alessandro Mondazzi 1449
| Matei Florin Breazu | Alessandro Mondazzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matei Florin Breazu (rating 1560 vs 1449).
- Matei Florin Breazu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matei Florin Breazu | Alessandro Mondazzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.3 | 6.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 26.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matei Florin Breazu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Mate Valkusz UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcell Bartakovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Gabor Hornung UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Alessandro Mondazzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Mae Malige M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Henri Haupt M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/04 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Francesco Forti M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Felipe Virgili Berini M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Gabriele Volpi ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Dominik Recek M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Mura M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matei Florin Breazu vs Alessandro Mondazzi?
Our model gives 74% to Matei Florin Breazu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.