Tennis · M15 Slobozia · 15/07, 13:30

Prediction: Ilya Snitari vs Matei Florin Breazu

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Ilya Snitari Matei Florin Breazu
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Snitari 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLWW
Matei Florin Breazu 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilya Snitari 1605 · Matei Florin Breazu 1544
Ilya SnitariMatei Florin Breazu
Our model59%41%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilya Snitari (rating 1605 vs 1544).

Statistics

Ilya SnitariMatei Florin Breazu
Win %90%70%
Win % · Clay 86% (7) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.41.5-0.8
Games (G-P)12.9-7.811.9-9.5
Aces1.60.6
Double faults2.61.6
1st serve %67.2%65.6%
Break %48.3%50.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilya Snitari

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Cezar Gabriel Papoe
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
11/07 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 14-8 W
10/07 Niccolo Catini
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
09/07 Stefan Adrian Andreescu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Niccolo Ciavarella
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Semen Pankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
02/07 Marko Bekeni
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/06 Rihards Neimanis
Davis Cup
2-0 13-9 W
12/06 Doni Gashi
Davis Cup
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Aleksandre Bakshi
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W

Matei Florin Breazu

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Alessandro Mondazzi
M15 Slobozia
2-0 12-3 W
10/07 Filippo Mazzola
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
09/07 Michele Mecarelli
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 16-18 W
08/07 Nicolas Bruna
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
07/07 Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/06 Mate Valkusz
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Radek Chodora
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-1 18-11 W
24/06 Achilles Belkovics
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Marcell Bartakovics
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
22/06 Gabor Hornung
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilya Snitari vs Matei Florin Breazu?

Our model gives 68% to Ilya Snitari, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.