Tennis · M15 Slobozia · 15/07, 10:30

Prediction: William Mirarchi vs Jose Murariu

Prediction summary
Winner
72% 28%
William Mirarchi Jose Murariu
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
William Mirarchi 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLLWLL
Jose Murariu 1-9 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · William Mirarchi 1523 · Jose Murariu 1426
William MirarchiJose Murariu
Our model64%36%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours William Mirarchi (rating 1523 vs 1426).
  • William Mirarchi is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

William MirarchiJose Murariu
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 22% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.8-1.6
Games (G-P)9.4-8.79.6-12.3
Aces1.21
Double faults20
1st serve %62.5%63%
Break %37.8%57%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

William Mirarchi

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
09/07 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
08/07 Rares Andrei Golescu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
23/06 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Iannis Miletich
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
15/06 Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 9-11 L
05/06 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Alen Mujakic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
03/06 Rajat Shirur
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Matteo Liusso
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Jose Murariu

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Valentino Conte
M15 Slobozia
2-1 13-10 W
26/06 Riccardo Campagnola
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Deni Zmak
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/06 Henry Best
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 10-15 L
23/06 Timeo Gaillard
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Vojtech Vales
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
31/05 Obrad Markovski
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/05 Rein Koenders
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
29/05 Gorazd Srbljak
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
28/05 Achilles Belkovics
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-1 19-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in William Mirarchi vs Jose Murariu?

Our model gives 72% to William Mirarchi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.