Tennis · WTA Palermo · 18/07, 18:30

Prediction: Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Anastasia Bertacchi

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Raluca Georgiana Serban Anastasia Bertacchi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Raluca Georgiana Serban 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLL
Anastasia Bertacchi 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1468 · Anastasia Bertacchi 1530
Raluca Georgiana SerbanAnastasia Bertacchi
Our model41%59%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Bertacchi (rating 1468 vs 1530).
  • Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (6.4/match).
  • Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Raluca Georgiana SerbanAnastasia Bertacchi
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.2-0.9
Games (G-P)10.1-10.69.8-8.9
Aces10.7
Double faults6.44
1st serve %65.8%62.3%
Break %55.5%56.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raluca Georgiana Serban

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Daria Kuczer
W75 Olomouc
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Lea Boskovic
W75 The Hague
0-2 6-11 L
25/06 Gina Feistel
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
23/06 Victoria Bosio
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/06 Mayar Sherif
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/06 Denisa Zoldakova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
22/05 Yuki Naito
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
22/05 Ena Koike
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
19/05 Katy Dunne
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Anastasia Bertacchi

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Emma Lene
W35 Torino
0-2 1-12 L
10/07 Martyna Kubka
W35 Don Benito
0-2 6-13 L
09/07 Ann Akasha Ceuca
W35 Don Benito
2-1 16-13 W
07/07 Nahia Berecoechea
W35 Don Benito
2-0 13-10 W
30/06 Lisa Zaar
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
29/06 Ginevra Montebruno
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
28/06 Kamila Kashaeva
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/06 Berta Passola
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
04/06 Yelyzaveta Chainykova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-9 W
03/06 Romy De Baene
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Anastasia Bertacchi?

Our model gives 59% to Raluca Georgiana Serban, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.