Tennis · WTA Palermo · 18/07, 18:30

Prediction: Emily Webley-Smith vs Mina Hodzic

Prediction summary
Winner
16% 84%
Emily Webley-Smith Mina Hodzic
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Webley-Smith 0-10 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Mina Hodzic 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emily Webley-Smith 1359 · Mina Hodzic 1517
Emily Webley-SmithMina Hodzic
Our model29%71%
Market6%94%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mina Hodzic (rating 1359 vs 1517).
  • Mina Hodzic is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Emily Webley-SmithMina Hodzic
Win %0%60%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.2-21.4-0.9
Games (G-P)5-12.311.8-10.2
Aces1.32.6
Double faults3.63.1
1st serve %43.4%65.1%
Break %34.4%49.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emily Webley-Smith

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/05 Gaia Maduzzi
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
13/04 Tena Lukas
W75 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
31/01 Katarzyna Piter
WTA Abu Dhabi · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/01 Ekaterina Ovcharenko
W100 Fujairah
1-2 12-15 L
18/01 Ankita Raina
W75 Manama
1-2 9-12 L
30/11 Sara Saito
ITF W100 Dubai · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
24/11 Daria Zelinskaya
ITF W75 Fujairah
0-2 6-12 L
16/11 Eva Bennemann
ITF W75 Petange · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/09 Carol Young Suh Lee
WTA Samsun · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
21/09 Tayisiya Morderger
ITF W100 Lisboa
0-2 3-12 L

Mina Hodzic

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Harriet Dart
WTA Athens · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
12/07 Ekaterina Yashina
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/07 Hao-Ching Chan
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Lidia Encheva
W100 Aschaffenburg
1-2 17-19 L
27/06 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
26/06 Hibah Shaikh
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
25/06 Martina Capurro Taborda
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
23/06 Elza Tomase
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Alevtina Ibragimova
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Sarah Iliev
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emily Webley-Smith vs Mina Hodzic?

Our model gives 84% to Mina Hodzic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.