Tennis · W75 Granby · 18/07, 01:30

Prediction: Sara Saito vs Cadence Brace

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Sara Saito Cadence Brace
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLWW
Cadence Brace 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1505 · Cadence Brace 1530
Sara SaitoCadence Brace
Our model46%54%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (7.7/match).

Statistics

Sara SaitoCadence Brace
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.5-11.511.4-9.8
Aces0.91
Double faults7.72.9
1st serve %60.2%59.8%
Break %52.9%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sara Saito

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Kayo Nishimura
W75 Granby
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Yuki Naito
W75 Granby
2-1 13-10 W
24/06 Erika Sema
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Kayo Nishimura
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
1-2 12-18 L
13/06 Yujia Huang
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Varvara Panshina
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/06 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-15 W
10/06 Chengyiyi Yuan
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
22/05 Hayu Kinoshita
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Yuriko Lily Miyazaki
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Cadence Brace

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Erika Sema
W75 Granby
2-1 14-14 W
15/07 Mio Mushika
W75 Granby
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Katherine Sebov
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
02/07 Mia Slama
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Raphaelle Lacasse
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Kayla Day
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
06/06 Reese Brantmeier
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
1-2 15-15 L
05/06 Malaika Rapolu
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
04/06 Martina Okalova
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-1 18-9 W
03/06 Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Cadence Brace?

Our model gives 57% to Cadence Brace, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.