Tennis · W75 Granby · 17/07, 16:00
Prediction: Kayla Cross vs Rebecca Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayla Cross
Rebecca Marino
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kayla Cross
3-7 (W-L)
Rebecca Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kayla Cross
0–1
Rebecca Marino
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayla Cross 1477 · Rebecca Marino 1543
| Kayla Cross | Rebecca Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Marino (rating 1477 vs 1543).
- Rebecca Marino dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 43.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Kayla Cross 0–1 Rebecca Marino (1).
Statistics
| Kayla Cross | Rebecca Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10 | 10.4-9 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Kayla Cross 0 – 1 Rebecca Marino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kayla Cross 0–1 Rebecca Marino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/24 ITF W75 Lexington | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayla Cross
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Ana Grubor W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Annabelle Xu W75 Granby |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mary Stoiana Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Megan Knight WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/05 | Mingge Xu WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Rebecca Sramkova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Charlottesville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Rebecca Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kira Matushkina W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Tatjana Maria WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Guadalajara 125K · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayla Cross vs Rebecca Marino?
Our model gives 62% to Rebecca Marino, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.