Tennis · W75 Granby · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Ariana Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Elizabeth Mandlik
Ariana Arseneault
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Elizabeth Mandlik
7-3 (W-L)
Ariana Arseneault
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elizabeth Mandlik 1526 · Ariana Arseneault 1531
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elizabeth Mandlik makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Ariana Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.9 | 11-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elizabeth Mandlik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Anna Tabunshchyk W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Momoko Kobori WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Mingge Xu WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Mai Hontama W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Emma Dong W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Victoria Osuigwe WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Elizabeth Ionescu W35 Rome |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Monika Ekstrand W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Fangran Tian W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elizabeth Mandlik vs Ariana Arseneault?
Our model gives 62% to Elizabeth Mandlik, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.