Tennis · ATP Umag MD · 17/07, 16:00
Prediction: Pavlasek/Rikl vs Stevenson/Willis
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlasek/Rikl
Stevenson/Willis
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlasek/Rikl
9-1 (W-L)
Stevenson/Willis
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlasek/Rikl 1581 · Stevenson/Willis 1560
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Stevenson/Willis makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10.9 | 14.3-13.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 79.1% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 26.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlasek/Rikl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Burruchaga/Kestelboim ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Nam/Niklas-Salminen ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Ivanisevic/Poljicak ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Heliovaara/Patten Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Hijikata/Polmans Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Giron/Tabilo Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Galloway/Kirkov ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Bergs/Rinderknech ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
Stevenson/Willis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Kalender/Serdarusic ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Dzumhur/Latinovic ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Reymond/Sanchez ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Behar/Salisbury Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-23 | W |
| 19/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 17/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Choudary Bollipalli/Hilderbrand Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlasek/Rikl vs Stevenson/Willis?
Our model gives 64% to Pavlasek/Rikl, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.