Tennis · ATP Umag MD · 15/07, 14:00
Prediction: Reymond/Sanchez vs Stevenson/Willis
Prediction summary
Winner
Reymond/Sanchez
Stevenson/Willis
Estimated games
27.4
Recent form · 10 last
Reymond/Sanchez
6-4 (W-L)
Stevenson/Willis
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reymond/Sanchez 1532 · Stevenson/Willis 1545
| Reymond/Sanchez | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Stevenson/Willis makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Reymond/Sanchez | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 15-13.5 | 15.4-15.6 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 80.2% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 22.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reymond/Sanchez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Demoliner/Vocel Challenger Braunschweig MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 09/07 | Liutarevich/Reyes-Varela Challenger Braunschweig MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Marysko/Schoenhaus Challenger Braunschweig MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Reynolds/Watt Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Altmaier/Jebens ATP Stuttgart MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Reyes-Varela/Tabilo French Open MD · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Cabral/Salisbury French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/05 | Nouza/Oberleitner Challenger Bordeaux MD · Clay |
1-2 | 19-23 | L |
| 16/05 | Halys/Herbert Challenger Bordeaux MD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Arneodo/Polmans Challenger Bordeaux MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Stevenson/Willis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Behar/Salisbury Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-23 | W |
| 19/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 17/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Choudary Bollipalli/Hilderbrand Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Holmgren/Prashanth Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Blanchet/Jacquet Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 10/06 | Chandrasekar/Yuzuki Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reymond/Sanchez vs Stevenson/Willis?
Our model gives 58% to Reymond/Sanchez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.