Tennis · ATP Umag MD · 15/07, 19:00
Prediction: Pavlasek/Rikl vs Nam/Niklas-Salminen
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlasek/Rikl
Nam/Niklas-Salminen
Estimated games
26
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlasek/Rikl
9-1 (W-L)
Nam/Niklas-Salminen
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlasek/Rikl 1559 · Nam/Niklas-Salminen 1531
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Nam/Niklas-Salminen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pavlasek/Rikl | Nam/Niklas-Salminen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-11.9 | 15.2-14 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlasek/Rikl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Ivanisevic/Poljicak ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Heliovaara/Patten Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Hijikata/Polmans Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Giron/Tabilo Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Galloway/Kirkov ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Bergs/Rinderknech ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
| 11/06 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Gille/Verbeek ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-1 | 24-21 | W |
Nam/Niklas-Salminen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Duda/Vrbensky ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Goldhoff/Harper Challenger Newport MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Reynolds/Watt Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 05/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 04/07 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Shimizu/Watanabe Challenger Cary MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 03/06 | Mansouri/Poljak Challenger Prostejov MD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Bertola/Forti Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Jung/Uesugi Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-20 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlasek/Rikl vs Nam/Niklas-Salminen?
Our model gives 63% to Pavlasek/Rikl, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.