Tennis · ATP Umag MD · 16/07, 21:00
Prediction: Stevenson/Willis vs Kalender/Serdarusic
Prediction summary
Winner
Stevenson/Willis
Kalender/Serdarusic
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Stevenson/Willis
7-3 (W-L)
Kalender/Serdarusic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stevenson/Willis 1557 · Kalender/Serdarusic 1600
| Stevenson/Willis | Kalender/Serdarusic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalender/Serdarusic (rating 1557 vs 1600).
- Note: Stevenson/Willis makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Stevenson/Willis | Kalender/Serdarusic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.4 | 12.3-7.5 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 80.5% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stevenson/Willis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Dzumhur/Latinovic ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Reymond/Sanchez ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Behar/Salisbury Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-23 | W |
| 19/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 17/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Choudary Bollipalli/Hilderbrand Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Holmgren/Prashanth Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Kalender/Serdarusic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Liutarevich/Reyes-Varela ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Jans/Whitehouse Challenger Trieste MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Gomez/Kestelboim Challenger Trieste MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Crivellaro/Sciahbasi Challenger Trieste MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Latinovic/Mikrut Challenger Monastir MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Nagoudi/Omarkhanov Challenger Monastir MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Pel/Vasser ITF M15 Nova Gorica MD |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Gil Garcia/Voljavec ITF M15 Nova Gorica MD |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Kalina/Kriznik ITF M15 Nova Gorica MD |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stevenson/Willis vs Kalender/Serdarusic?
Our model gives 50% to Stevenson/Willis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.