Tennis · W15 Astana · 17/07, 08:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Maria Sholokhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Maklakova
Maria Sholokhova
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Maklakova
8-2 (W-L)
Maria Sholokhova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Maklakova
1–0
Maria Sholokhova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Maklakova 1604 · Maria Sholokhova 1541
| Ekaterina Maklakova | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Maklakova (rating 1604 vs 1541).
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Maklakova 1–0 Maria Sholokhova (1).
- Note: Ekaterina Maklakova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
- Note: Maria Sholokhova makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Maklakova | Maria Sholokhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7.1 | 11.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 62.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Ekaterina Maklakova 1 – 0 Maria Sholokhova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Maklakova 1–0 Maria Sholokhova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 W15 Astana | 2-0 | 12-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Maklakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Shruti Ahlawat W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Sonal Patil W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Rina Saigo W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Maria Sholokhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Yashaswini Panwar W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Piper Charney W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Anna Rogers W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Victoria Hu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Ana Grubor W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Maklakova vs Maria Sholokhova?
Our model gives 57% to Ekaterina Maklakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.