Tennis · W75 Granby · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Alexandra Vagramov
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Alexandra Vagramov
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
7-3 (W-L)
Alexandra Vagramov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1556 · Alexandra Vagramov 1536
| Sakura Hosogi | Alexandra Vagramov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexandra Vagramov makes many double faults (9.6/match).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Alexandra Vagramov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.9 | 11.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 9.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 11/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Thara Gowda W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Alexandra Vagramov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W75 Granby |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Aytoyan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Thara Gowda W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Sophie Suh W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Armira Kockinis W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Ingrid C Millan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Alexandra Vagramov?
Our model gives 60% to Sakura Hosogi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.