Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Emily Appleton vs Oceane Dodin
Prediction summary
Winner
Emily Appleton
Oceane Dodin
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Appleton
3-7 (W-L)
Oceane Dodin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Appleton 1476 · Oceane Dodin 1529
| Emily Appleton | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oceane Dodin (rating 1476 vs 1529).
- Oceane Dodin dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 46.5% break avg.
- Note: Emily Appleton makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Oceane Dodin makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Emily Appleton | Oceane Dodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.3 | 11.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Appleton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Indianna Spink W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harmony Tan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tegan Bush WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Naho Sato W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mana Kawamura W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Oceane Dodin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Brooke Black W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Stojsavljevic W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Amy Stevens W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Lulu Sun Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Pigossi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Kayla Day French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Appleton vs Oceane Dodin?
Our model gives 61% to Oceane Dodin, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.