Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 15/07, 14:00

Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Amelie Brooks

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Manon Leonard Amelie Brooks
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLLLW
Amelie Brooks 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1484 · Amelie Brooks 1531
Manon LeonardAmelie Brooks
Our model43%57%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amelie Brooks (rating 1484 vs 1531).
  • Note: Amelie Brooks makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Manon LeonardAmelie Brooks
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.1-1
Games (G-P)8.1-10.79.1-8.8
Aces1.60.8
Double faults3.45.5
1st serve %54.8%57%
Break %43.1%53.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manon Leonard

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Sabine Rutlauka
W50 Nottingham
2-1 14-10 W
07/07 Veronika Podrez
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 9-13 L
30/06 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Alina Charaeva
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 0-12 L
13/06 Aliona Falei
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Katherine Sebov
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Ana Sofia Sanchez
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-1 19-13 W
09/06 Alice Gillan
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/06 Maria Martinez Vaquero
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/05 Himeno Sakatsume
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L

Amelie Brooks

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Zuzanna Kolonus
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Francesca Dell'edera
W50 Nottingham
2-0 13-9 W
12/07 Ines Leon
W50 Nottingham
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Sara Cakarevic
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Felien Willemse
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Anina Lanz
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
19/05 Irina Fetecau
W15 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
04/05 Georgiana Mititelu
W35 Nottingham Qual
1-1 7-6 W
30/04 Vaishnavi Adkar
W35 Nottingham
0-2 8-12 L
28/04 Aneta Laboutkova
W35 Nottingham
2-1 12-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Amelie Brooks?

Our model gives 67% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.