Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 15/07, 12:30
Prediction: Alicia Dudeney vs Clara Vlasselaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Alicia Dudeney
Clara Vlasselaer
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alicia Dudeney
4-6 (W-L)
Clara Vlasselaer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alicia Dudeney 1464 · Clara Vlasselaer 1528
| Alicia Dudeney | Clara Vlasselaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clara Vlasselaer (rating 1464 vs 1528).
- Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Clara Vlasselaer makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Alicia Dudeney | Clara Vlasselaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.9 | 11.1-9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alicia Dudeney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Tegan Bush W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Clara Vlasselaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Nagi Hanatani W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Beatriz Castro W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/05 | Emily Appleton W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Marta Soriano Santiago W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Julita Saner W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/04 | Kolie Allen W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04 | Tegan Bush W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alicia Dudeney vs Clara Vlasselaer?
Our model gives 61% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.