Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 15/07, 14:00
Prediction: Emily Appleton vs Indianna Spink
Prediction summary
Winner
Emily Appleton
Indianna Spink
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Appleton
3-7 (W-L)
Indianna Spink
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emily Appleton
1–0
Indianna Spink
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Appleton 1493 · Indianna Spink 1526
| Emily Appleton | Indianna Spink | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Emily Appleton 1–0 Indianna Spink (1).
- Note: Emily Appleton makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Indianna Spink makes many double faults (9.2/match).
Statistics
| Emily Appleton | Indianna Spink | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.9 | 12.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 9.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Emily Appleton 1 – 0 Indianna Spink (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emily Appleton 1–0 Indianna Spink
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 W35 Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Appleton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Peyton Stearns WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harmony Tan WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tegan Bush WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Naho Sato W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mana Kawamura W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Haruka Kaji W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Julia Adams W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Indianna Spink
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Angella Okutoyi W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 08/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Aurora Urso W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Appleton vs Indianna Spink?
Our model gives 52% to Emily Appleton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.