Tennis · M25 Brisbane · 16/07, 03:30
Prediction: Chase Ferguson vs Mustafa Ege Sik
Prediction summary
Winner
Chase Ferguson
Mustafa Ege Sik
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Chase Ferguson
3-7 (W-L)
Mustafa Ege Sik
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chase Ferguson 1475 · Mustafa Ege Sik 1461
| Chase Ferguson | Mustafa Ege Sik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mustafa Ege Sik makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Chase Ferguson | Mustafa Ege Sik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.9 | 10.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chase Ferguson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 04/04 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Mustafa Ege Sik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Marcus Schoeman M25 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/04 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 31/03 | Evangelos Kypriotis M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 27/03 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Ajeet Rai ITF M25 Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Jera Staley ITF M25 Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Masamichi Imamura ITF M25 Perth |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Chen Dong ITF M25 Perth |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chase Ferguson vs Mustafa Ege Sik?
Our model gives 62% to Chase Ferguson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.