Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 17/07, 03:10
Prediction: Ryota Tanuma vs Taiyo Kurata
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryota Tanuma
Taiyo Kurata
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ryota Tanuma
8-2 (W-L)
Taiyo Kurata
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryota Tanuma
2–0
Taiyo Kurata
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryota Tanuma 1597 · Taiyo Kurata 1535
| Ryota Tanuma | Taiyo Kurata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1597 vs 1535).
- Head-to-head: Ryota Tanuma 2–0 Taiyo Kurata (2).
Statistics
| Ryota Tanuma | Taiyo Kurata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7 | 10.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Ryota Tanuma 2 – 0 Taiyo Kurata (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryota Tanuma 2–0 Taiyo Kurata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05/25 UTR Pro Urayasu | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Shion Yamada M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Taiyo Kurata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 14/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/12 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/12 | Ammar Elamin UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/12 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Sergey Petrov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
| 15/12 | Pol Amoros Ramos UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | John Chin UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryota Tanuma vs Taiyo Kurata?
Our model gives 70% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.