Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 16/07, 04:00
Prediction: Shion Itsusaki vs Naoto Tomizawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Shion Itsusaki
Naoto Tomizawa
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Shion Itsusaki
3-7 (W-L)
Naoto Tomizawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shion Itsusaki 1477 · Naoto Tomizawa 1503
| Shion Itsusaki | Naoto Tomizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Shion Itsusaki | Naoto Tomizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.1 | 9.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shion Itsusaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Penn Charusorn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Shingo Masuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Quinn Snyder UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Riku Nakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Naoto Tomizawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Nuutti Jokinen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Hien Q H Pham M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shion Itsusaki vs Naoto Tomizawa?
Our model gives 51% to Shion Itsusaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.